This file was prepared for electronic distribution by the inforM staff. Questions or comments should be directed to inform-editor@umail.umd.edu. METHODOLOGY All of the reasons why women are not as frequently found in upper management as men may not be immediately obvious. By definition, if a glass ceiling exists, it is invisible and therefore difficult to establish. A look at the occupational and grade distribution of Federal employees suggests that women may be underrepresented in certain occupations and at upper grade levels, but not why this would be so. Is it because women have chosen not to move into those occupations or grade levels, or because their movement is blocked? A look at how the distribution has changed over time shows that more women are at higher grade levels than in the past, but not whether their movement into these levels is occurring as fast as it could or should be. An analysis of promotion rates may tell us whether women are being promoted as often as men, but not when, if ever, women will hold a share of management-level jobs proportionate to their participation in the workforce. Rapid promotion of women, for example, might be offset by an equally rapid turnover rate among women. Answering the question as to whether women have equal opportunity for advancement in the Federal Govemment requires an understanding of the factors which account for successful career advancement in Federal agencies. Are women and men affected differently by these factors? What slows down or stops the progress of an upwardly mobile employee? Is the scarcity of women in management in the Government explained by discrimination or by demographic differences, or are there more subtle biases that act to discourage their advancement? Because of the complexity of issues related to career advancement, we determined that no single source of data would be sufficient for a thorough analysis of whether women face a glass ceiling in Government. Therefore, this study is based on three sources of information: * Data from OPM's Central Personnel Data File; * Focus groups of mid- and senior-level Federal employees; and * A Governmentwide employee survey. The scope of this analysis is limited to executive branch employees in white-collar occupations. Central Personnel Data File The CPDF is a computerized data base with information on approximately 2 million civilian employees. Employees of the U.S. Postal Service and other agencies exempt from personnel reporting requirements, such as the US. Central Intelligence Agency, are not included in the data base. We asked OPM to give us two kinds of information from the CPDF: * The numbers of men and women by grade level and occupational group for various times beginning with FY 1974. These "snap-shots" show how men and women are distributed in the workforce, and how the distribution has changed since 1974. * Promotion rates, turnover rates, and transfer rates by occupational category for men and women, averaged for two 3-year periods--fiscal years 1978-80 and 1988-90. We used these average rates to develop a workforce planning model which projects how the representation of women by grade level will change over the next 25 years if the observed rates of change remain constant. Focus Groups In order to obtain a general understanding of the factors which affect the career advancement process in the Federal Government, we arranged for focus groups at seven departments and agencies.[l2] Some 144 people participated in 19 focus groups in the summer of 1991. Participants were men and women in grades GS/GM 13-15 and members of the Senior Executive Service. It was not our intention to draw firm conclusions about the career development process Governmentwide from the views expressed by focus group participants. Rather, we were interested in learning about the experiences and perspectives of a variety of individuals in an assortment of occupations and agencies. In the focus groups we asked participants open-ended questions about their own careers, their perceptions of factors which may affect advancement, and their views as to how the experiences of men and women might differ. Survey While focus group participants gave us valuable information about their own experiences and perceptions, we did not know to what extent these experiences and perceptions were common among Federal employees. To broaden our perspective, we developed a written questionnaire (see app. 1) after the focus group discussions were completed. Many of the issues explored in the questionnaire came from the observations made by focus group participants. The questionnaire was administered in the fall of 1991 to a sample of about 13,000 full-time, permanent, white-collar Federal employees in grades GS/GM 9-15 and in the SES. We used a stratified random sampling technique to ensure representation by grade range, agency, and sex. Some 8,408 surveys were returned (4,827 from men, 3,443 from women, and 138 from respondents who did not state their gender), for a very satisfactory response rate of 66 percent. The survey was designed to address questions such as the following: * What factors predict greater career advancement? * Are there meaningful differences in the qualifications of men and women at the same grade level? * Do men and women share the same level of commitment to their jobs and interest in advancement? * To what extent do employees believe that they are treated unfairly or differently than colleagues of the opposite sex? We believe that collectively, the quantitative and qualitative data assembled from these three sources provide us with a comprehensive understanding of the career advancement process in the Federal Government, and the nature of barriers, if any, which impede the progress of women.